Analysis: Black Sea conflict may alter global trade patterns for grains, veg oil

Tras 361 eventos alcista de geopolítica pasados, Trigo (SRW) se movió una mediana de +0,7 % en 5 sesiones (58% al alza; mitad central entre -1,4 % y +3,7 %), y +1,3 % en 20.

• 20 ago 2026FACTBOX: Black Sea grain trade strained by escalating Russia-Ukraine conflict | S&P Global-1,3 %
• 27 ago 2026Egypt faces wheat supply crunch as Black Sea conflict escalates | S&P Global+4,0 %
• 20 jul 2023Black Sea conflict boosts wheat prices in Southeast Asia, Australia | S&P Global-0,7 %
• 10 mar 2022Grains edge higher as hopes for Black Sea ceasefire fade – The Seam-3,3 %
• 18 jul 2023Black Sea grain deal eased global food prices — now it's off and analysts are warning of a price 'roller-coaster' - ABC News+2,0 %

Tras 323 eventos alcista de geopolítica pasados, Maíz se movió una mediana de +0,5 % en 5 sesiones (57% al alza; mitad central entre -1,5 % y +2,9 %), y +0,9 % en 20.

• 20 ago 2026FACTBOX: Black Sea grain trade strained by escalating Russia-Ukraine conflict | S&P Global+5,4 %
• 10 mar 2022Grains edge higher as hopes for Black Sea ceasefire fade – The Seam+2,5 %
• 18 jul 2023Black Sea grain deal eased global food prices — now it's off and analysts are warning of a price 'roller-coaster' - ABC News+18,0 %
• 24 jul 2026Grains Markets Hit New Highs on Black Sea Attacks, Crude Oil Rally-3,8 %
• 28 ene 2022Ukraine conflict would destabilise Black Sea trade, sanctions ‘inevitable’, say lawyers+1,3 %

Tras 110 eventos alcista de geopolítica pasados, Aceite de soja se movió una mediana de +1,8 % en 5 sesiones (65% al alza; mitad central entre -0,7 % y +3,6 %), y -0,4 % en 20.

• 30 oct 2022Grain market braces for price flurry as Black Sea corridor in doubt+3,1 %
• 1 jun 2022Global events spur search for alternative oils | Food Business News+2,3 %
• 27 jul 2026Black Sea grain trapped as Russia, Ukraine attacks continue | World Grain-5,7 %
• 1 oct 2026Global vegetable oil prices seen rising on tighter supply, says analyst Mielke - Markets - Business Recorder+2,3 %
• 3 may 2022The impact of the Ukraine crisis on the global vegetable oil market | IFPRI+3,0 %

Tras 62 eventos alcista de geopolítica pasados, Aceite de palma se movió una mediana de +2,5 % en 5 sesiones (74% al alza; mitad central entre -0,1 % y +5,8 %), y +4,0 % en 20.

• 1 oct 2026Global vegetable oil prices seen rising on tighter supply, says analyst Mielke - Markets - Business Recorder-0,4 %
• 3 may 2022The impact of the Ukraine crisis on the global vegetable oil market | IFPRI-9,5 %
• 31 oct 2022U.N. Black Sea grain pact under threat as Russia quits | Reuters+11,7 %
• 20 jul 2023Palm oil futures hit four-month high as Black Sea tensions escalate+1,6 %
• 23 feb 2022Palm oil futures hit all-time high on bullish global energy, vegetable oil markets+15,0 %