EUR/USD rose about 1.1% to 1.0670 on May 23, 2022, its best level in nearly four weeks, after ECB President Lagarde indicated net asset purchases would end very early in the third quarter. She also said a rate lift-off would start in July, with the bank exiting negative rates by September.
The move was also supported by broad dollar weakness.
A clear ECB hiking path and a weaker dollar shift currency flows that affect the relative cost of US and other dollar-priced commodities for euro-area importers. The change is a macro driver that can influence feed import costs.
Tras 388 eventos alcista de macro pasados, Euro (USD por EUR) se movió una mediana de +0,3 % en 5 sesiones (62% al alza; mitad central entre -0,4 % y +1,1 %), y +0,1 % en 20.
Tras 1637 eventos bajista de macro pasados, Dólar estadounidense (amplio) se movió una mediana de -0,2 % en 5 sesiones (39% al alza; mitad central entre -0,6 % y +0,3 %), y -0,2 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
Lagarde's hawkish guidance of a July lift-off and an exit from negative rates by September drove EUR/USD to a four-week high on May 23, with broad dollar weakness adding to the move.