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The Brazilian real fell to a 2.5-year low against the dollar, with USD/BRL moving above 4.00. Danske Bank analyst Jens Pedersen linked the move to worries that reform-oriented candidates have weak support ahead of the presidential election.
A sharply weaker real raises the cost of imported feed ingredients for Brazilian buyers and can pull in more Brazilian soybean and corn exports, supporting dollar-denominated grain prices. Analysts also flagged a possible central bank rate hike to defend the currency.
forexcrunch.comFX Street22 ago 2018Tras 301 eventos alcista de macro pasados, Real brasileño (BRL por USD) se movió una mediana de +0,4 % en 5 sesiones (57% al alza; mitad central entre -1,2 % y +1,7 %), y +1,0 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
Election-related worries about weak support for reform-oriented candidates drove the real to a 2.5-year low in the window, a direct sentiment/risk-premium driver.
