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CBOT oats rose 6.5% to $4.16 a bushel after Statistics Canada's model-based estimate put the 2026 Canadian oat crop 22.7% lower, to 3.03 million tonnes. Most of the decline came from a sharp cut in seeded acreage, while yield fell only 3.5%.
Chicago prices now sit well above Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada's forecast average.
A large Canadian supply shortfall tightens the oat balance and supports prices. Chicago's premium over Ottawa's forecast suggests the market has priced in more tightness than the official outlook assumes.
thetradersspread.comRick Steves22 sept 2026Tras 52 eventos alcista de informe pasados, Avena se movió una mediana de -2,0 % en 5 sesiones (33% al alza; mitad central entre -3,4 % y +2,4 %), y +0,7 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
