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Brazilian stocks fell on Monday after the government agreed to soften its pension reform proposal to secure Congressional approval. The revised plan yields about 60% of the fiscal savings of the original, versus 75% in the prior version.
The Bovespa index slipped 1.2%, while the real gained 0.4%.
Pension reform is seen as necessary to curb Brazil's public debt, so a weaker bill raises fiscal risk and drives equity volatility. The real's gain against the dollar also shows investors treating the reform's outcome as a currency factor.
ai-cio.comChris Butera28 nov 2017Tras 13 eventos bajista de política pasados, Real brasileño (BRL por USD) se movió una mediana de -3,4 % en 5 sesiones (15% al alza; mitad central entre -3,4 % y -1,3 %), y -1,9 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
Brazil's softened pension reform lowers expected fiscal savings and raises fiscal-risk concerns, which can weaken the real and pressure BRL, although the real actually gained 0.4% on the day and the event predates the 11-30 move by two days.
