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The Rosario Grain Exchange cut its Argentine soybean estimate 14 percent, from 46.5 million tons to 40 million, but the futures market barely reacted. USDA forecasts Argentine production at 47 million tons.
Analyst Jamey Kohake expects the actual crop to land in the low 40 million range and says the cut is already priced in.
A roughly 6.5 million ton cut in Argentine supply would normally support soybean prices, but the market has absorbed it and is stuck in its trading range. Prices will need harvest yield results to move decisively.
brownfieldagnews.comMark Dorenkamp16 mar 2018Tras 324 eventos neutral de clima pasados, Soja se movió una mediana de +0,0 % en 5 sesiones (52% al alza; mitad central entre -1,4 % y +1,7 %), y +0,7 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
