
Oil prices extended losses to a two-week low as the market judged Middle East supply disruption risk to be lower after the Israel-Iran ceasefire. Brent fell 4.92% to $67.96 and WTI fell 4.99% to $65.09, although Trump accused both sides of violating the truce.
Lower perceived risk to Strait of Hormuz flows reduces the energy risk premium in crude, which weakens biofuel and diesel cost support for oilseed and grain prices. Ceasefire fragility could still bring renewed volatility.
Tras 255 eventos bajista de geopolítica pasados, Petróleo crudo (WTI) se movió una mediana de -2,4 % en 5 sesiones (31% al alza; mitad central entre -7,0 % y +1,7 %), y -5,0 % en 20.
Tras 250 eventos bajista de geopolítica pasados, Petróleo crudo (Brent) se movió una mediana de -3,1 % en 5 sesiones (36% al alza; mitad central entre -7,9 % y +1,6 %), y -5,5 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
Brent fell 4.9% to $67.96 on lower supply-risk after the ceasefire, extending the losses.
Brent fell about 5% to a two-week low on June 24 as supply disruption risk receded after the ceasefire.