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August WTI crude closed down 6.04% on Tuesday after President Trump announced an Israel-Iran ceasefire, and gasoline also fell sharply. Crude losses accelerated after Trump said China could keep buying Iranian oil, which fueled speculation of relief from Iranian sanctions.
OPEC+ output increases of 411,000 bpd for July add to glut concerns.
Removal of the geopolitical premium, possible Iranian sanctions relief, and OPEC+ supply increases all add bearish pressure to crude, lowering energy-linked costs for oilseed products. A weaker dollar index provides some offsetting support for dollar-priced commodities.
barchart.comRich Asplund24 jun 2025Tras 255 eventos bajista de geopolítica pasados, Petróleo crudo (WTI) se movió una mediana de -2,4 % en 5 sesiones (31% al alza; mitad central entre -7,0 % y +1,7 %), y -5,0 % en 20.
Tras 250 eventos bajista de geopolítica pasados, Petróleo crudo (Brent) se movió una mediana de -3,1 % en 5 sesiones (36% al alza; mitad central entre -7,9 % y +1,6 %), y -5,5 % en 20.
Tras 33 eventos bajista de geopolítica pasados, Dólar estadounidense (amplio) se movió una mediana de -0,6 % en 5 sesiones (33% al alza; mitad central entre -1,5 % y +0,2 %), y -0,8 % en 20.
Variaciones de la referencia de cada materia prima desde el último cierre antes del evento. Las lecturas históricas agrupan eventos pasados del mismo tipo; describen lo ocurrido, no lo que ocurrirá. No es asesoramiento de inversión.
The Trump-announced Israel-Iran ceasefire and the sanctions-relief talk on Iranian oil drove a further ~6% drop on June 24, and OPEC+ supply additions added to glut concerns.
WTI fell 6% after the ceasefire; Trump's comment that China could keep buying Iranian oil and OPEC+ supply increases added bearish supply pressure.
