
Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen advanced to the French presidential runoff on May 7 after the first round, with Macron at about 23.7 percent and Le Pen at about 21.7 percent. The euro reached a five-and-a-half-month high against the dollar, and polls showed Macron favoured at roughly 62 to 38 percent.
A likely Macron win reduces the tail risk of a euro-area shock that would weigh on the euro. Currency moves of this kind change the dollar cost of European feed imports only modestly.
Nach 18 vergangenen Ereignisse (bullisch, Geopolitik) bewegte sich Euro (USD pro EUR) im Median über 5 Handelstage um +1,9 % (83% höher; mittlere Hälfte +0,9 % bis +2,0 %) und über 20 Handelstage um +2,0 %.
Veränderungen des Benchmarks jedes Rohstoffs seit dem letzten Schluss vor dem Ereignis. Historische Werte bündeln frühere Ereignisse derselben Art; sie beschreiben, was passiert ist, nicht was passieren wird. Keine Anlageberatung.
Macron and Le Pen advancing to the runoff, with Macron favoured in polls, lowered the odds of a eurosceptic victory and lifted EUR/USD to a five-and-a-half-month high.