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StoneX reports that global urea prices have declined faster and earlier than expected, and the market has not yet entered its usual summer lull in demand. The analyst expects continued pressure from production, the return of Chinese exports and weak demand.
Manufacturers may cut output for repairs, which could set a short-term floor.
Returning Chinese export supply and weak demand are pushing urea lower, but possible production cuts could limit the decline. Buyers should expect volatility around any supply disruptions.
stonex.comJosh Linville01.05.2024stonex.comJosh Linville29.04.2024Nach 81 vergangenen Ereignisse (bearisch, Handel) bewegte sich Harnstoff im Median über 5 Handelstage um -1,0 % (28% höher; mittlere Hälfte -7,2 % bis +0,4 %) und über 20 Handelstage um -5,5 %.
Veränderungen des Benchmarks jedes Rohstoffs seit dem letzten Schluss vor dem Ereignis. Historische Werte bündeln frühere Ereignisse derselben Art; sie beschreiben, was passiert ist, nicht was passieren wird. Keine Anlageberatung.
Dated on the move date, it reports prices falling faster than expected, with the return of Chinese exports and weak demand adding pressure, which is consistent with continued selling.
StoneX expects continued downward pressure from production, returning Chinese exports and weak demand, reinforcing bearish sentiment around the date of the drop.
