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Henry Hub February futures fell from $3.99 to $3.42/mmBtu in a week, and March contracts closed below $2.85. Bearish heating demand revisions for the first two weeks of January were projected to add roughly 300 Bcf to storage.
The analysis projects end-of-season storage near 1.85 Tcf under normal weather.
Heavier storage builds and lower heating demand expectations push forward curves lower, and a bearish February outlook could push end-of-season storage above 2 Tcf. That keeps downside pressure on prices.
hfir.comHFI Research07.01.2026Nach 104 vergangenen Ereignisse (bearisch, Wetter) bewegte sich Erdgas im Median über 5 Handelstage um -7,8 % (22% höher; mittlere Hälfte -14,8 % bis -0,8 %) und über 20 Handelstage um -3,3 %.
Veränderungen des Benchmarks jedes Rohstoffs seit dem letzten Schluss vor dem Ereignis. Historische Werte bündeln frühere Ereignisse derselben Art; sie beschreiben, was passiert ist, nicht was passieren wird. Keine Anlageberatung.
Analysis of bearish demand revisions adding about 300 Bcf to storage explains the market pricing in a mild winter, though it is dated slightly after the window.
