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Researchers writing in The Veterinary Record assess how African swine fever could reach China, which holds more than half the world's pigs. The virus has no vaccine and can kill up to 100% of infected domestic pigs.
Risk factors include movements of people, goods and wild boar, and small family farms that keep most of China's roughly 500 million pigs.
An outbreak in China would cut domestic pork supply and likely reduce demand for feed ingredients, while trade bans would weigh on global hog and meat prices. The article describes a risk rather than an outbreak, so the price effect is limited for now.
eurasiareview.comJCFA11.10.2017Nach 117 vergangenen Ereignisse (bearisch, Krankheit) bewegte sich Magerschweine im Median über 5 Handelstage um -0,6 % (36% höher; mittlere Hälfte -2,2 % bis +1,6 %) und über 20 Handelstage um +1,2 %.
Veränderungen des Benchmarks jedes Rohstoffs seit dem letzten Schluss vor dem Ereignis. Historische Werte bündeln frühere Ereignisse derselben Art; sie beschreiben, was passiert ist, nicht was passieren wird. Keine Anlageberatung.
