UBS notes cold weather lifted US natural gas to its highest level since late 2022, with freeze-offs and the Freeport LNG shutdown disrupting supply. UBS expects end-March storage near 1.7-1.8 tcf, slightly below the five-year average, and sees near-term price pressure from milder February forecasts.
It raised its September and December price forecasts by $0.20/MMBtu on rising LNG exports.
Higher gas prices across tenors encourage switching from gas to coal in power generation, which can affect energy and processing costs for feed producers. Tighter storage and rising LNG exports support firmer gas prices later in the year.
Nach 15 vergangenen Ereignisse (neutral, Wetter) bewegte sich Erdgas im Median über 5 Handelstage um -5,0 % (27% höher; mittlere Hälfte -11,3 % bis -0,9 %) und über 20 Handelstage um +4,6 %.
Veränderungen des Benchmarks jedes Rohstoffs seit dem letzten Schluss vor dem Ereignis. Historische Werte bündeln frühere Ereignisse derselben Art; sie beschreiben, was passiert ist, nicht was passieren wird. Keine Anlageberatung.