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An analyst told the Jakarta Post that Indonesia's decision to suspend some palm oil export permits would have a negligible effect on global prices. Malaysian crude palm oil rose 1.5% in the days after the rule was announced, but the gain faded.
The analyst set resistance at 4,200 to 4,400 ringgit a tonne and warned of a fall toward 3,500 to 3,700 ringgit if a negative catalyst appeared.
The export tightening is a real supply risk from the largest palm producer, but the market is treating it as a limited shock. Buyers should price in only modest, short-lived palm support unless Indonesia expands the restrictions.
pwc.comPricewaterhouseCoopers14.02.2023Nach 67 vergangenen Ereignisse (neutral, Handel) bewegte sich Palmöl im Median über 5 Handelstage um +0,0 % (51% höher; mittlere Hälfte -1,1 % bis +1,3 %) und über 20 Handelstage um +0,6 %.
Veränderungen des Benchmarks jedes Rohstoffs seit dem letzten Schluss vor dem Ereignis. Historische Werte bündeln frühere Ereignisse derselben Art; sie beschreiben, was passiert ist, nicht was passieren wird. Keine Anlageberatung.
