Natural gas futures rose about 6.2% to near $2.60 per mmBtu on Tuesday, and the UNG fund gained 2.6%. Models showed colder weather ahead, with the GFS adding more than 15 heating degree days.
Analysts said a large speculative short position could be forced to cover if the heating-demand outlook held.
Stronger heating-demand forecasts and short covering can push gas prices higher in the near term. Higher gas prices also raise power and fuel costs for feed producers.
Nach 221 vergangenen Ereignisse (bullisch, Wetter) bewegte sich Erdgas im Median über 5 Handelstage um +3,3 % (61% höher; mittlere Hälfte -5,2 % bis +14,0 %) und über 20 Handelstage um -0,3 %.
Veränderungen des Benchmarks jedes Rohstoffs seit dem letzten Schluss vor dem Ereignis. Historische Werte bündeln frühere Ereignisse derselben Art; sie beschreiben, was passiert ist, nicht was passieren wird. Keine Anlageberatung.
Colder weather model runs (GFS adding 15+ heating degree days) boosted the demand outlook and a large speculative short position risked covering, amplifying the price jump.
Colder weather model runs (GFS adding 15+ heating degree days) lifted prices about 6% and raised the prospect of a large speculative short position covering, amplifying the rally.